Canadian Championship Final
Global 1-1
Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
COR
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
NYC
1 - 1
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CIN
1 - 5
TOR
14%
23%
64%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CIN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 3
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
VAN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |