Torino vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
INT
5 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
TOR
3 - 0
ACL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
TOR
0 - 0
VNZ
69%
16%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |