Torino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
81%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ROM
2 - 2
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 0
PAD
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 2
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
ACM
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
ACM
5 - 1
JUV
46%
22%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
FIO
5 - 2
ACM
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |