Torino vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1966 |
FCC
0 - 0
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
VIC
0 - 0
TOR
46%
29%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 1
ACM
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 4
BOL
47%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAT
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 2
CAT
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CAT
0 - 0
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |