Torgelower SV Greif vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BSC
0 - 5
TOR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TOR
4 - 0
TEN
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
NEU
3 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 0
GSC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 5
HSV
4%
13%
83%
|
32 | 87 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 0
LFC
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
LIC
1 - 2
OPT
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BSC
4 - 1
LIC
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIC
3 - 0
TEN
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
NEU
2 - 1
LIC
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |