Torgelower SV Greif vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
TOR
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
REI
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 4
AAA
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 2
LFC
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
TOR
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LUC
4 - 4
LIC
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NEU
2 - 0
LIC
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FAL
1 - 0
LIC
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LIC
1 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BSC
4 - 1
LIC
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |