Tondela vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TON
2 - 3
VSC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
TON
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TON
4 - 2
ORI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
TON
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
TON
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 2
AVE
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
FAR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 0
FAR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
0 - 1
CHA
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAR
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |