Tomori Berat vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
4º
38
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KFS
1 - 0
TOM
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 1
ORI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOM
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 1
TER
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 2
BES
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUZ
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 0
TUR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KFS
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 0
KOR
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |