Tombense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
VOL
2 - 0
TOM
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
MOG
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
TOM
38%
30%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 2
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 0
JEC
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUP
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
VOL
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 2
JEC
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
BRU
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |