Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 0
PAC
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 2
PAC
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
PAC
5 - 2
PUE
56%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
PAC
40%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |