Conmebol Sudamericana Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Toluca vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 3
ACS
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
COL
4 - 4
DLS
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |