CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 1-2
Toluca vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIG
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAP
3 - 2
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAP
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AME
1 - 3
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VER
0 - 1
AME
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
LDA
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
AME
1 - 3
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
LDA
1 - 2
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |