Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
CER
1 - 1
TOK
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 4
TOK
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
TOK
3 - 1
SHI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
GAM
1 - 3
TOK
19%
24%
57%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
TOK
0 - 1
KAA
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
3 - 3
KAA
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
KAR
4 - 3
JEF
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
NAG
3 - 1
KAR
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
JUB
1 - 1
KAR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
KAR
4 - 2
FCY
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |