Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Belediye Kütahyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
15º
12º
34
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 56 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 76.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 2
TBP
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TBP
2 - 0
BUR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
TBP
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TBP
1 - 0
BER
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SIV
6 - 1
TBP
90%
8%
2%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Belediye Kütahyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ERB
1 - 0
BKS
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BKS
1 - 1
BUY
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VBK
0 - 0
BKS
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BKS
1 - 0
FAT
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
4EY
1 - 3
BKS
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |