Tochigi vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
THE
2 - 0
TOC
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 1
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROA
2 - 1
TOC
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 2
TOK
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 3
EHI
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KYO
2 - 1
YOK
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
KYO
2 - 2
SHO
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
KYO
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
KYO
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KYO
3 - 3
JEF
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |