Tocantinópolis vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 3
TOC
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
4 - 2
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
TOC
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
TOC
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 1
IMP
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
IMP
1 - 1
JCA
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
IMP
2 - 2
PAR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 0
IMP
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |