Meistriliiga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 3-1
TJK Legion vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 3
TJK
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 1
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 1
TAM
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
TJK
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 0
TJK
49%
22%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 3
TJK
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 1
LEV
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TUL
0 - 1
FCE
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 1
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
VJK
4 - 1
FCE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |