Premier League Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Tivoli Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
TRI
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 4
TRI
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
3 - 6
TRI
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
HAR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 3
WAT
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
DFC
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 4
WAT
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |