Tivoli Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
REN
2 - 4
TRI
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 3
ARN
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 0
TRI
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 0
LIO
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 3
ARN
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
WAT
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 1
LIO
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
WAT
2 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |