Tivoli Gardens vs Village United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BOY
0 - 1
TRI
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 3
TRI
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
TRI
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Village United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
WAT
32%
29%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
VIL
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARN
40%
29%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
STG
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
LIO
3 - 0
VIL
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |