Tivoli Gardens vs Reno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
JAM
1 - 2
TRI
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
TRI
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
MAG
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
UWI
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
TRI
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
REN
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
MAG
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JAM
1 - 1
REN
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
UWI
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |