KF Tirana vs KF Skënderbeu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
9º
6º
20
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 36 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 1
ELB
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BYL
0 - 3
TIR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
0 - 4
EGN
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
TIR
1 - 2
BYL
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
VLZ
2 - 1
TIR
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
KF Skënderbeu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 1
KFS
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KFS
2 - 1
TEU
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
KFS
0 - 4
VLZ
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
KFS
1 - 0
VOR
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
KFS
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |