3. Division round 22

Tiller IL vs Rana FK analysis

Tiller IL Rana FK
30 ELO 36
-7.5% Tilt -0.4%
9287º General ELO ranking 6162º
116º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
25.2%
Tiller IL
20.8%
Draw
54.1%
Rana FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
Tiller IL
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
54.1%
Win probability
Rana FK
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tiller IL
-15%
+36%
Rana FK

Points and table prediction

Tiller IL
Their league position
Rana FK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
61
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Strindheim
69
69
100%
Nardo
61
61
0%
Rana FK
61
61
0%
Byåsen
58
58
100%
Tiller IL
35
35
100%
Orkla
34
34
100%
Mosjøen
32
32
100%
Kristiansund II
31
31
100%
Rosenborg II
30
30
100%
Bodø / Glimt II
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Verdal
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Steinkjer
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Trønder-Lyn
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Kolstad
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tiller IL
Rana FK
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Tiller IL
Rana FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tiller IL
Tiller IL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
NAR
Nardo
3 - 1
Tiller IL
TIL
71%
16%
14%
29 39 10 0
16 Sep. 2023
TIL
Tiller IL
3 - 0
Mosjøen
MOS
48%
21%
32%
28 24 4 +1
09 Sep. 2023
TIL
Tiller IL
1 - 1
Rosenborg II
ROS
63%
18%
19%
28 20 8 0
03 Sep. 2023
KBK
Kristiansund II
2 - 1
Tiller IL
TIL
27%
21%
52%
29 20 9 -1
27 Aug. 2023
TIL
Tiller IL
0 - 2
Steinkjer
STE
76%
14%
10%
30 16 14 -1

Matches

Rana FK
Rana FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
RFK
Rana FK
3 - 1
Orkla
ORK
81%
11%
7%
37 18 19 0
17 Sep. 2023
BYA
Byåsen
1 - 1
Rana FK
RFK
52%
23%
25%
37 40 3 0
10 Sep. 2023
RFK
Rana FK
3 - 0
Bodø / Glimt II
FBG
79%
12%
9%
36 20 16 +1
04 Sep. 2023
ROS
Rosenborg II
0 - 1
Rana FK
RFK
21%
18%
61%
36 20 16 0
26 Aug. 2023
RFK
Rana FK
2 - 1
Trønder-Lyn
TLI
88%
8%
4%
36 15 21 0