Tikvesh vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
7º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tikvesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
PEL
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 0
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
TIK
2 - 1
KGE
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
TIK
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 2
TIK
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 2
FCS
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FCS
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 2
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VEJ
2 - 1
FCS
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 1
FCS
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |