Tienen vs Cappellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
4º
12
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
22 | 59 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 55 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 52 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 51 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 46 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 31 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 31 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 28 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 27 |
16º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 86% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tienen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 0
TIE
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TIE
0 - 3
LYR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
TIE
2 - 1
DES
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 4
TIE
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
1 - 2
RUP
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 3
KAA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KNO
2 - 2
CAP
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 1
CAP
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
KVT
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ELS
1 - 0
CAP
23%
21%
57%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |