Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
8º
8º
30
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 72 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 60 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 49 |
6º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 4% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 11% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 4
TIT
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 0
SHA
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 2
TIT
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 1
BEI
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
2 - 1
TIT
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
SJF
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
SHA
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 0
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |