Thurrock vs Barkingside analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NEE
2 - 3
THU
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
TIL
1 - 1
THU
24%
25%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
THU
2 - 1
WRO
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
THU
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
THU
10 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Barkingside
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 3
WAL
50%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 5
RED
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 2
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
CHA
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BUR
5 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |