Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.9%
5-0
9.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
THU
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
1 - 3
DES
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
7%
16%
77%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
WSA
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SPR
2 - 0
WSA
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |