Thun vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
NEX
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
YOB
4 - 0
THU
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
FCL
3 - 0
THU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
THU
3 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
STG
4 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 3
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
STG
2 - 1
SIO
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
NEX
1 - 2
STG
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |