Thun vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 0
THU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
SER
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
THU
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 1
THU
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 1
ZUR
17%
23%
61%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 0
YOB
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 0
LAU
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCL
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 1
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |