UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Thun vs ACF Gloria Bistrita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
THU
2 - 0
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SER
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ACF Gloria Bistrita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
TIM
0 - 0
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 1
GAL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
PET
2 - 5
BRI
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BRI
3 - 2
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
DBU
3 - 0
BRI
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |