Thun II vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
THU
1 - 1
MUN
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 1
THU
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
THU
1 - 2
LUZ
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
WAN
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 1
THU
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 3
ZOF
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
3 - 1
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
NEX
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LUZ
2 - 0
FCS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |