Thun II vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
13º
53
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 5
FCC
68%
17%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
THU
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
THU
4 - 0
MUN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 2
THU
42%
21%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
THU
0 - 3
RTK
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
BLA
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
CON
26%
23%
52%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 4
CON
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RTK
1 - 4
CON
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
WOH
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |