Thun II vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
13º
53
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 5
FCC
68%
17%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
THU
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
THU
4 - 0
MUN
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 2
THU
42%
21%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
THU
0 - 3
RTK
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
BLA
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
CON
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 4
CON
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RTK
1 - 4
CON
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
WOH
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |