Thun II vs Bern 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LER
1 - 3
THU
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
THU
5 - 1
FCK
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
THU
0 - 0
ESB
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
THU
3 - 2
BUM
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
THU
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bern 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
BUM
2 - 3
BER
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
ESB
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BER
2 - 1
ROM
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
BER
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
2 - 2
BER
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |