Thonon Évian vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
THO
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
FRE
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
THO
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THO
0 - 1
JUR
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
THO
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 0
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 2
AUB
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 0
TOU
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
AUB
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |