Thisted vs Skive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
11º
11º
24
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 38 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 35 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 28 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 13 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
THI
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
THI
0 - 0
IIF
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
THI
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
HEL
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
THI
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 0
AKA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
3 - 3
SKI
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 1
THI
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 1
NAE
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |