Thespa Gunma vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TOK
2 - 2
THE
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
THE
2 - 2
CER
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SHO
2 - 1
THE
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NAG
3 - 1
THE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
THE
2 - 2
TOK
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
KYO
1 - 0
VEG
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CON
2 - 2
KYO
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
KYO
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SAG
3 - 0
KYO
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
KYO
3 - 1
EHI
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |