The Strongest vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
STR
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
STR
3 - 0
BLO
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OPE
0 - 3
STR
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 2
STR
10%
20%
71%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
STR
6 - 2
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 2
BLO
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
SAC
4 - 2
AUR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAC
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ROY
0 - 2
SAC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |