The New Saints vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
TNS
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
AIR
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 4
TNS
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 3
TNS
24%
22%
54%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
POR
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
BAN
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |