The New Saints vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
RHY
1 - 2
TNS
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
TNS
5 - 0
CAE
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 1
TNS
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
TNS
2 - 1
LID
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
WEL
0 - 5
TNS
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CAE
5 - 2
CWM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
HAV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 5
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
CAE
3 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |