The New Saints vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 2
LLA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 2
TNS
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
TNS
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LID
0 - 0
BAN
8%
17%
75%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
BAN
15%
21%
65%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 1
NEA
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
BAN
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |