Thaon vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
7º
5º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
0 - 1
THA
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
CHA
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAR
2 - 2
THA
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
THA
1 - 3
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 3
SAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 2
CHA
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 0
ILL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
1 - 3
SCH
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 3
SAR
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |