Regionalliga Nord round 1

Teutonia Ottensen vs BW Lohne analysis

Teutonia Ottensen BW Lohne
50 ELO 47
19.7% Tilt 4.2%
3879º General ELO ranking 4372º
117º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
57.7%
Teutonia Ottensen
21%
Draw
21.3%
BW Lohne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
Teutonia Ottensen
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.3%
Win probability
BW Lohne
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Teutonia Ottensen
-14%
+25%
BW Lohne

Points and table prediction

Teutonia Ottensen
Their league position
BW Lohne
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
11º
18º
12º
30
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Havelse
44
69
58%
SV Meppen
32
65
25.5%
Drochtersen / Assel
40
64
30%
Phönix Lübeck
28
59
17.5%
BSV Kickers Emden
32
59
22%
Werder Bremen II
26
56
17%
 Hamburger SV II
27
51
18.5%
Weiche Flensburg
30
48
13%
BW Lohne
30
48
17%
VfB Lübeck
10º
25
46
10º
15%
St. Pauli II
12º
22
40
11º
12%
Teutonia Ottensen
13º
22
40
12º
18%
Jeddeloh
11º
22
38
13º
15.5%
Bremer SV
15º
18
37
14º
12%
VfB Oldenburg
14º
19
37
15º
13%
Holstein Kiel II
18º
17
35
16º
14%
Todesfelde
17º
18
33
17º
18%
Eintracht Norderstedt
16º
18
31
18º
30%
Expected probabilities
Teutonia Ottensen
BW Lohne
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
96% 100%
Relegation
4% 0%

ELO progression

Teutonia Ottensen
BW Lohne
Todesfelde
St. Pauli II
VfB Oldenburg
SV Meppen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Teutonia Ottensen
Teutonia Ottensen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2024
HOL
Holstein Kiel II
0 - 0
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
52%
21%
27%
50 52 2 0
07 Jul. 2024
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1 - 4
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
20%
20%
60%
50 35 15 0
29 Jun. 2024
OTT
Teutonia Ottensen
0 - 2
ETSV Hamburg
ETH
72%
16%
12%
50 38 12 0
18 May. 2024
MEP
SV Meppen
3 - 1
Teutonia Ottensen
OTT
70%
18%
12%
51 63 12 -1
12 May. 2024
OTT
Teutonia Ottensen
0 - 2
Havelse
HAV
51%
23%
27%
52 52 0 -1

Matches

BW Lohne
BW Lohne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2024
BWL
BW Lohne
2 - 4
BSV Rehden
BSV
49%
23%
29%
48 45 3 0
13 Jul. 2024
BWL
BW Lohne
1 - 3
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
9%
15%
76%
48 71 23 0
28 Jun. 2024
GWM
GW Mühlen
0 - 4
BW Lohne
BWL
10%
15%
75%
48 26 22 0
22 Jun. 2024
BWL
BW Lohne
5 - 1
Vorsfelde
VOR
53%
22%
24%
48 44 4 0
21 Jun. 2024
BWL
BW Lohne
5 - 0
Wilhelmshaven SV
WSV
45%
24%
32%
47 46 1 +1