Campionato Primavera 1 round 16

Ternana U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis

Ternana U19 Ascoli U19
17 ELO 21
4% Tilt -12.2%
11583º General ELO ranking 8707º
377º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
37%
Ternana U19
21.8%
Draw
41.2%
Ascoli U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
Ternana U19
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
41.2%
Win probability
Ascoli U19
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ternana U19
-48%
+10%
Ascoli U19

ELO progression

Ternana U19
Ascoli U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ternana U19
Ternana U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
CRO
Crotone U19
3 - 0
Ternana U19
TER
57%
20%
22%
19 19 0 0
16 Jan. 2016
TER
Ternana U19
1 - 0
SSC Bari U19
BAR
46%
22%
33%
18 19 1 +1
19 Dec. 2015
TER
Ternana U19
3 - 1
Empoli U19
EMP
12%
17%
71%
15 33 18 +3
12 Dec. 2015
PAL
Palermo U19
1 - 0
Ternana U19
TER
85%
10%
5%
15 30 15 0
05 Dec. 2015
TER
Ternana U19
0 - 3
Frosinone U19
FRO
36%
22%
42%
15 19 4 0

Matches

Ascoli U19
Ascoli U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
ASC
Ascoli U19
7 - 4
Virtus Lanciano U19
VIR
60%
20%
20%
20 18 2 0
19 Dec. 2015
ASC
Ascoli U19
0 - 1
Palermo U19
PAL
23%
23%
54%
20 30 10 0
12 Dec. 2015
EMP
Empoli U19
3 - 1
Ascoli U19
ASC
74%
16%
10%
21 33 12 -1
05 Dec. 2015
ASC
Ascoli U19
1 - 2
Crotone U19
CRO
56%
22%
22%
21 19 2 0
28 Nov. 2015
PES
Pescara U19
2 - 0
Ascoli U19
ASC
32%
24%
44%
23 18 5 -2