Ternana Calcio vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
SAM
1 - 1
TER
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
2 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
USC
2 - 1
TER
43%
30%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
TER
0 - 2
CAG
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ASC
4 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
AVE
63%
24%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
65%
24%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |