Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura round 15

Tepatitlán FC vs CA Morelia analysis

Tepatitlán FC CA Morelia
66 ELO 70
0% Tilt -3.8%
2665º General ELO ranking 1635º
39º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
32.3%
Tepatitlán FC
26.4%
Draw
41.3%
CA Morelia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
Tepatitlán FC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
CA Morelia
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tepatitlán FC
-6%
-26%
CA Morelia

ELO progression

Tepatitlán FC
CA Morelia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tepatitlán FC
Tepatitlán FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2022
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
2 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
35%
28%
37%
65 71 6 0
24 Mar. 2022
MER
Venados FC
0 - 0
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
39%
27%
34%
65 63 2 0
18 Mar. 2022
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
1 - 0
Pumas Tabasco
SPT
50%
26%
24%
65 59 6 0
10 Mar. 2022
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 1
Tepatitlán FC
TEM
43%
26%
31%
65 64 1 0
03 Mar. 2022
TEM
Tepatitlán FC
1 - 0
CD Tapatío
CDT
50%
27%
23%
65 63 2 0

Matches

CA Morelia
CA Morelia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2022
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
61%
22%
17%
71 64 7 0
24 Mar. 2022
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
CA Morelia
MOR
32%
28%
40%
72 70 2 -1
20 Mar. 2022
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 1
Tampico Madero
TAM
63%
22%
15%
72 65 7 0
09 Mar. 2022
TOR
Celaya
2 - 2
CA Morelia
MOR
29%
27%
44%
72 67 5 0
04 Mar. 2022
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 0
Dorados
DOR
54%
24%
22%
72 68 4 0