Telfs vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
39
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
5 - 3
KEM
76%
14%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
2 - 5
STJ
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
TEL
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 2
KIT
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 0
TEL
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
VOL
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 2
WAT
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 2
WAT
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 1
FUG
29%
23%
47%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |