J3 League round 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Osaka analysis

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Osaka
55 ELO 56
6.6% Tilt -1.9%
4098º General ELO ranking 2708º
73º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
43.2%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
25.5%
Draw
31.3%
Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.3%
Win probability
Osaka
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
+62%
-1%
Osaka

Points and table prediction

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Their league position
Osaka
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
20º
19º
53
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Osaka
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 - 2
Parceiro Nagano
PAR
50%
26%
24%
56 56 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
AZU
Azul Claro Numazu
1 - 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
21%
25%
53%
56 45 11 0
13 Nov. 2022
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4 - 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
36%
27%
38%
54 59 5 +2
06 Nov. 2022
GIF
Gifu
1 - 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
40%
26%
35%
54 50 4 0
30 Oct. 2022
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 - 0
Iwaki FC
IWA
17%
23%
60%
53 66 13 +1

Matches

Osaka
Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
KAG
Kagoshima United
2 - 1
Osaka
OSA
50%
25%
26%
56 58 2 0
20 Nov. 2022
OSA
Osaka
1 - 1
Reilac Shiga
MIO
71%
20%
9%
56 36 20 0
12 Nov. 2022
SUN
Atletico Suzuka
1 - 2
Osaka
OSA
30%
25%
45%
56 49 7 0
05 Nov. 2022
OSA
Osaka
2 - 0
Honda
HON
16%
23%
60%
54 66 12 +2
30 Oct. 2022
VER
Verspah Oita
2 - 2
Osaka
OSA
38%
26%
36%
54 53 1 0