J3 League round 8

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Gifu analysis

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Gifu
55 ELO 49
4.5% Tilt -1.4%
4130º General ELO ranking 2990º
75º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
23.2%
Draw
21.4%
Gifu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.4%
Win probability
Gifu
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
+58%
+1%
Gifu

Points and table prediction

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Their league position
Gifu
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
20º
19º
54
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Gifu
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Gifu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
KAG
Kagoshima United
3 - 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
54%
24%
21%
54 58 4 0
09 Apr. 2023
KAT
Kataller Toyama
2 - 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
55%
24%
22%
56 58 2 -2
02 Apr. 2023
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 - 0
Ehime
EHI
47%
26%
27%
55 55 0 +1
26 Mar. 2023
MAT
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 - 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
48%
27%
25%
55 59 4 0
19 Mar. 2023
FUK
Fukushima United
0 - 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
32%
26%
41%
55 49 6 0

Matches

Gifu
Gifu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
GIF
Gifu
0 - 1
Osaka
OSA
35%
25%
40%
50 55 5 0
08 Apr. 2023
EHI
Ehime
2 - 1
Gifu
GIF
54%
23%
22%
51 55 4 -1
01 Apr. 2023
GIF
Gifu
3 - 1
Ryūkyū
RYK
32%
25%
43%
49 54 5 +2
26 Mar. 2023
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
1 - 0
Gifu
GIF
41%
26%
33%
50 50 0 -1
18 Mar. 2023
GIF
Gifu
1 - 0
Kagoshima United
KAG
26%
25%
49%
49 59 10 +1