J3 League round 14

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Imabari analysis

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Imabari
55 ELO 58
2.3% Tilt -1.6%
4130º General ELO ranking 2229º
75º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26.7%
Draw
37.9%
Imabari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.9%
Win probability
Imabari
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
+58%
+35%
Imabari

Points and table prediction

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Their league position
Imabari
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
20º
19º
59
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ehime
73
73
100%
Kagoshima United
62
62
0%
Kataller Toyama
60
62
0%
Imabari
59
59
100%
Nara Club
57
57
100%
Gainare Tottori
56
56
0%
Vanraure Hachinohe
56
56
0%
Gifu
54
54
100%
Matsumoto Yamaga
54
54
100%
Grulla Morioka
10º
54
54
10º
100%
Osaka
11º
53
53
11º
100%
YSCC
12º
53
52
12º
100%
Azul Claro Numazu
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Parceiro Nagano
14º
50
50
14º
100%
Fukushima United
15º
47
47
15º
100%
Kamatamare Sanuki
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Ryūkyū
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Sagamihara
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19º
39
39
19º
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
31
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Imabari
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Imabari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
23%
26%
52%
54 45 9 0
07 Jun. 2023
SAG
Sagan Tosu
5 - 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
74%
17%
9%
55 77 22 -1
04 Jun. 2023
VAN
Vanraure Hachinohe
0 - 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
TMF
34%
27%
39%
55 51 4 0
28 May. 2023
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 - 0
Grulla Morioka
GRU
52%
24%
24%
54 51 3 +1
20 May. 2023
TMF
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 - 0
Tokai University Kumamot
TUK
86%
10%
4%
54 8 46 0

Matches

Imabari
Imabari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
FCI
Imabari
0 - 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
MAT
42%
27%
31%
58 58 0 0
07 Jun. 2023
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 0
Imabari
FCI
69%
19%
12%
59 78 19 -1
03 Jun. 2023
GRU
Grulla Morioka
2 - 1
Imabari
FCI
24%
25%
50%
60 50 10 -1
28 May. 2023
FCI
Imabari
3 - 0
Gainare Tottori
GAI
52%
25%
24%
59 53 6 +1
21 May. 2023
FCI
Imabari
1 - 0
Mitsubishi Nagasaki
MIN
83%
12%
5%
59 7 52 0